I would like to share a raw investment strategy which I am planning to apply with this extreme volatile and uncertain bear market. It is not much the conventional or intellectual way of investing. But I believe in this system and it is proved as the best strategy in any long running bear markets.
Full or partial of the following factors should be considered while selecting each of the stocks listed below.
(a) The fundamentals
(b) A bit of Technicals
(c) The product trend and applicability issues
(d) The future scope of products/Services
(e) The Management
(f) Assets/Infrastructure of the Company
(g) Certifications and Awards
(h) Market Response
(j) Previous Products/Projects
(k) Investor relations
(l) Dividend History
I am planning to accumulate stocks with a long term vision of 3 -15 years. Gradually wish to filter them down and would like to keep the best 2 to 3 in every sector. I am basically not concur with the logic, that one should not maintain a portfolio of more than 15-20 stocks. I prefer the most proved and worthy practice (in other areas) of filtering down to reach your specified numbers of stocks that as much you can monitor.
Managing Your Portfolio
Buy in dips & Averaging
You can buy as little batches of 100, 500 or 1000 at every falls depending on your cash reserve. It is also possible to accumulate below the 9000 level of Sensex. Sort your portfolio frequently in ascending order on “Overall Gain” or “Net Profit figure”. Keep averaging from the bottommost scrip which shows the lowest overall gain percentage. Do these practices until some steadiness come to the market.
We cannot predict the exact sector which is going to be emerge in coming days. And its harder to find the best too. Even if we found one …what’s the matter? Satyam was one of them.
I wish to propose that,
Select 3 to 4 companies best in each sectors and do filter down on the basis of frequent performance review. The time has to show us the best. And for the non-performers, leave them simply on the way.
I am not responsible for your investment decisions. Please do your own analysis before any bulk investments.
Hi Shabu, cannot see the list of your favourite stocks. Thanks Shalu
ReplyDeleteHi Shabu, cannot view the list of stocks. Thanks
ReplyDeletePlease check it now.
ReplyDeleteyes....now i can. Thank you
ReplyDeleteHi Shabu, Nice list of the companies...
ReplyDeleteI have a query regarding Bartronics.
The Company has outstanding FCCBs of US$ 56 million (US$ 6 million – 2012 and US$ 50 million –
2013). The Company has not created any redemption reserve for FCCBs. In case the company fails to
buy back these FCCB or they are not converted it would put an additional pressure of Rs 222 Cr on the
company’s balance sheet. If these Bonds are converted to equity, the equity capital would increase to Rs
37.63 crore and so would dilution of earnings.
What will be the impact of this on company's financials...?
Also the promoters have been reducing their stake in the company in the past years...
Can you analyse this thing...
VAS - Geodesic... why not Tanla...?
ReplyDeleteDear Sheel,
ReplyDeleteI am agree with you on Bartronics issue and closely watching the company by last few months. Pledging of shares is also an issue with the company. But I am not consider all these as a reason to exclude this scrip from my list. The sector they involved is unavoidable and as of now, they are the leaders.
And Tanla is there in my list ?
Thanks for the comment
Thanks...
ReplyDeleteABG Shipyard(PE 2.9) and Bharati Shipyard(PE 1.4) are having very low PE, also they been growing companies having growth of about average more than 30 - 40%.
They have good order book too.
Also today the government has approved the subsidy for them.
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2009/04/02/stories/2009040251900100.htm
Please can you check it out and tell how the subsidy will affect their balancesheet.
I think its a value stock...
sabu sir
ReplyDeleteexcellent idea and good examble
sir in one of u r earlier past u said u would recommend some penny stocks.
ReplyDeletei hope u would soon comme out with it.
Dark Knight Abhay
ReplyDeleteI am working on it... and hope will post it very soon. I was busy with some official engagements and all... Sorry for the delay...
Dear Shabu,
ReplyDeleteWhat views do you hold on Shipping sector? As one of the readers in the above comments have asked?
Which one do you prefer GE Shipping or SCI ? And your reasons for the same too pls.
Thank you for the article on portfolio building.
-BULLS
Dear Viral,
ReplyDeleteThanks for the comment. I am positive on the sector, especially with Bharship, ABG and GE. But will buy in small batches only in dips. I think..Barship will be emerge as a multibagger with in 4-5 years. The order book of the above companies are really mouthwatering. In my oppinion, the other Dark Horse in this sector is Western India Shipyard. Just 4.73 now, but I hope it will give a minimum of 600-700% return within 2-3 years.
Regards and thanks to all...
Shabu
Hai Shabu. The efforts behind this site is very much appreciable. Keep it up and congrats!.
ReplyDeleteyour views are really important and it is like by many of your readers and We are the largest online engine supplier in the US selling over 5,000 automotive and marine HiPerformer™ Engines a year.
ReplyDeletethanks
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